The NFL season is just five days away and we will continue to give you our best Week 1 plays and futures bets for the upcoming 2019 NFL season. Starting Monday on NY Betting News, we will begin breaking down Week 1 games, and on Friday, I will provide you with my three best plays for that week’s slate of games, including a New York team. On Sunday mornings, I will give you my best prop bets for the games that day. Using the most updated odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook, here are some of my best futures bets for the upcoming 2019 season:
Jameis Winston (TB) UNDER 4300.5 Passing Yards
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Winston UNDER 4300.5 yards Passing Yards (-110)
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Winston UNDER 4300.5 yards Passing Yards (-110)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter this season with renewed hope as two-time Coach of the Year Bruce Arians takes over. The Bucs held on to Jameis Winston despite growing frustrations with Winston during the 2018 season which saw Winston get benched twice in favor of Ryan Fitzpatrick. Arians, however, sees talent in Winston and hopes he can lead an offense filled with receiving weapons, including Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and O.J. Howard.
If Winston stays healthy and plays all 16 games this season, I am still not sure he can hit 4,300 yards. His best season thus far was 2016 when he didn’t even hit 4,100 yards, more than 200 yards below his predicted total this year. The biggest concern is the Bucs offensive line. This is a starting unit that has looked putrid in the preseason and management decided to leave it alone after struggling to protect its quarterbacks in 2018. Given Winston’s scrambling ability and injury history, I easily see a scenario where Winston will get hurt and miss at least a little bit of time, and any missed playing time will make it nearly impossible to hit that 4300 yard-mark. It’s not that I don’t have faith in Winston, but rather I don’t have faith in this offensive line, and I don’t have faith in the running back corps that is not all that impressive, being led by Peyton Barber. Without a running game, it makes the passing game more difficult. There are way more reasons consider the under here than the over. I’ll go with Winston UNDER 4300.5 passing yards for 2019.
Prediction: Jameis Winston 4,050 passing yards (UNDER)
Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 8 wins
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Jaguars OVER 8 wins (-110)
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Jaguars OVER 8 wins (-110)
The Jacksonville Jaguars enter the 2019 season angry and with a chip on their shoulder after a disappointing 2018 season that followed a division title in 2017. Optimism is running high in Jacksonville behind new quarterback Nick Foles who hopes to ignite an offense that ranked 27th in total offense last year, 26th in total passing, and 31st in total points. Part of the reason for the Jaguars struggles a year ago were injuries that hampered their offensive production. WR Marquise Lee, LT Cam Robinson, LG Andrew Norwell, and C Brandon Linder all found themselves on IR most of the season. Star running back Leonard Fournette also missed several games because of injury and dealt with hamstring issues most of the season.
This season, the Jaguars not only get Lee back, but feel they have a receiving weapon in Dede Westbrook who has developed and grown into an impact wide receiver who has great rapport with new quarterback, Foles. The Jaguars drafted LB Josh Allen who figures to be an impact defensive player his first year and is no doubt a candidate for Defensive Rookie of the Year. Along with Myles Jack, Ronnie Harrison, and Jalen Ramsey, the Jaguars defense is slated to be one of the NFL’s best units once again. The retirement of Andrew Luck should help the Jaguars chances within the division and they will rival the Texans for supremacy in the AFC South. Eight wins is not that a high total for a team that won 11 games and the AFC South just two years ago. The Jaguars schedule is not overly difficult, playing the AFC West and NFC South this year. Arguably their three toughest opponents, the Chiefs, Saints, and Chargers, all have to visit Jacksonville this season. If Foles turns out better than thought, the Jags could be a Super Bowl contender. I’ll play it safe. He will definitely be better than Blake Bortles and the offense will stay more healthy this year. Take the over 8 wins for the Jags.
Prediction: Jaguars 10-6 (2nd in AFC South behind Houston)