We’re now just four days away from the start of the NFL season. Today, I unveil my two best Super Bowl picks for the upcoming season (one AFC and one NFC) and starting on Monday here on NY Betting News, I will begin breaking down Week 1 games. On Friday, I will give you my three best plays of the week, along with one New York team, and on Sunday mornings I will provide the best prop bets for the day. Here are my two best Super Bowl futures picks for the upcoming season using the latest odds from FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook:
Houston Texans +3000 to win Super Bowl XLIV
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Houston Texans +3000 to win SB 54
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Houston Texans +2200 to win SB 54
The Houston Texans enter the 2019 campaign as AFC South champions and have only upgraded their roster since a year ago, mostly with recent transactions aimed at giving the team a Super Bowl run. Despite the season-ending injury to Lamar Miller, the Texans traded for Duke Johnson, Jr. from Cleveland and just recently gave up two-first rounders and a second rounder for Laremy Tunsil and Kenny Stills from Miami. The Texans now arguably have the league’s deepest wide receiving corps with DeAndrew Hopkins, Kevin Coutee, Will Fuller IV and Stills to go along with a rising Deschaun Watson at quarterback, who can make plays with his arms and legs.
At 30-1 odds on FD, it’s obvious the Texans are not the “sexy pick” among handicappers and bettors. After all, they’re not the Patriots, they’re not the Chiefs, they’re not the Saints, they’re not the Browns, and they’re not the Rams. Handicappers are looking more at past results and star power to dictate their odds, not so much what the future “could” hold. The retirement of Andrew Luck makes the Texans now a huge favorite to win the AFC South, although Jacksonville and that defense could pose a problem. The Chiefs and Patriots are going to no doubt be the biggest obstacle for Houston getting to the big game. However, the Chiefs 31st ranked defense still creates doubt whether they can get to Miami and the Patriots are now without Rob Gronkowski and have to deal with Father Time with some of their roster. The Chargers are dealing with injuries and holdouts, the Steelers just lost a huge weapon in Antonio Brown, and the Browns are unproven yet. There’s an opening for Houston to come out of the AFC, and any AFC champion will likely be a favorite to win the Super Bowl. I will take the value here and the Texans 30-1 to be the 2019 NFL Champions.
Philadelphia Eagles +1400 to win Super Bowl 54
FanDuel Sportsbook Odds: Eagles +1400 to win Super Bowl 54
DraftKings Sportsbook Odds: Eagles +1300 to win Super Bowl 54
Over the last two seasons, the Philadelphia Eagles have put their foot down as the team to beat in the NFC, but no one would know it based on who is being talked about. The Eagles have a 4-1 postseason record the last two seasons, better than the 2-2 Saints and 2-2 Rams. The Eagles also have a Super Bowl trophy to their credit, beating the Patriots in Super Bowl 52. Yet, teams still discount the Eagles and their abilities. The Eagles have Carson Wentz back now at full health and have added weapons in their running attack by drafting Miles Sanders and acquiring Jordan Howard. Two years ago, the Eagles went 11-2 behind Wentz under center before an ACL tear ended his season. A year ago, the Eagles went 5-1 over their last six games in the regular season to make the playoffs without Wentz and then went to Chicago and upset the Bears in the Wild Card round. They had control of the Divisional round game in New Orleans for much of the 60 minutes but came up just short at the end.
There’s not a whole lot of fear in the NFC that stands in the Eagles way. The same teams from a year ago reason to be a factor, with the Bears defense still one of the league’s best, and the Saints and Rams returning most of their team. However, the Rams may have to deal with a not-so powerful Todd Gurley recovering from a knee injury and the Saints being led by an aging Drew Brees, who is approaching 41 years old. I like these odds for the Eagles at 14-1. There’s too much “perception” that the Saints, Rams, and Bears are better than them and have lower odds, but you’re talking about a team who just won a Super Bowl two years ago and arguably have a much better roster now than they did when they beat the Patriots. I will take these odds all day. Give me the Eagles at 14-1 to win Super Bowl 54 along with my Texans bet above.